TRX Price Prediction: Can Technical Strength Overcome Regulatory Challenges?

#TRX

• TRX trades near key technical levels with MACD showing bullish momentum
• Record protocol revenue of $1.2 billion provides strong fundamental support
• Regulatory actions create uncertainty but strong ecosystem growth persists

TRX Price Prediction

Technical Analysis: TRX Shows Bullish Momentum

According to BTCC financial analyst Robert, TRX currently trades at $0.3229, slightly below its 20-day moving average of $0.3254, indicating potential support testing. The MACD reading of 0.002494 shows positive momentum as the MACD line remains above the signal line. The Bollinger Bands position suggests TRX is trading in the middle range with upper resistance at $0.3470 and lower support at $0.3039, providing clear technical levels for traders to watch.

Mixed Market Sentiment Amid Regulatory and Fundamental Developments

BTCC financial analyst Robert notes that while TRON's protocol revenue hitting an all-time high of $1.2 billion and Kraken's strong quarterly performance provide fundamental support, regulatory actions against HTX exchange create near-term uncertainty. The combination of strong ecosystem growth and regulatory headwinds suggests cautious optimism, with technical levels likely to guide short-term price action.

Factors Influencing TRX's Price

Kraken Posts Record $648M Revenue in Q3, Up 50% Quarter-Over-Quarter

Kraken reported a record $648 million in revenue for Q3 2025, marking a 50% surge from the previous quarter. The exchange's growth was fueled by disciplined cost management and aggressive product expansion, including the launch of tokenized equities.

Adjusted EBITDA soared 124% to $178.6 million, with margins expanding to 27.6%. Platform transaction volume climbed 23% to $561.9 billion, while assets under custody grew 34% to $59.3 billion. Kraken's funded accounts reached 5.2 million by quarter-end.

The exchange's xStocks initiative—a partnership with Backed offering tokenized U.S. equities—has processed over $5 billion in volume since July. Available on Solana, Ethereum, and TRON blockchains, the product now serves clients in 160+ countries, with recent expansion into the EU.

Tron’s 2025 Roadmap: Will TRX Defy the Odds Again and Revisit Its $0.44 ATH?

Tron (TRX) remains a resilient player in the decentralized applications space, with its all-time high of $0.4407 set in December 2024 still a focal point for bullish investors. The cryptocurrency is currently consolidating between $0.32 and $0.34, signaling potential accumulation. A resurgence in buying momentum could pave the way for another attempt at its peak.

Despite short-term weakness—marked by a 2.10% drop in September 2025 and a 4.38% decline in October—TRX has held key support levels. This stability suggests underlying strength even as broader market corrections take their toll. Technical indicators point to a possible bullish reversal by 2026, echoing its early 2024 performance.

UK Regulators Take Legal Action Against Justin Sun-Linked HTX Over Unauthorized Crypto Promotions

The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has escalated its crackdown on unlawful crypto promotions by filing a civil lawsuit against HTX, the exchange tied to TRON founder Justin Sun. The London High Court case alleges HTX targeted UK consumers without proper authorization under the 2023 financial promotions regime.

Four unidentified individuals associated with HTX's operations and marketing were also named in the filing. The enforcement action signals the FCA's expanding jurisdictional reach over foreign crypto platforms serving British investors.

TRX price movements showed heightened volatility following news of the legal proceedings. The case establishes a precedent for how UK regulators may pursue other offshore exchanges violating the stringent new promotion rules.

TRON Protocol Revenue Hits All-Time High of $1.2 Billion in Q3

TRON's ecosystem growth has reached new heights, with Q3 2025 revenue surging to a record $1.2 billion, a 30.5% quarter-over-quarter increase. Leading blockchain analytics firms Messari, Presto Research, and RWA.io have highlighted the network's expanding influence in global markets, particularly in stablecoin infrastructure and digital dollar settlements.

The T3 Financial Crime Unit (T3 FCU) has bolstered security, freezing over $250 million in illicit assets. JustLend, TRON's largest DeFi protocol by TVL, saw a 46.1% QoQ jump to $5 billion, while SunPerp, a new perpetual futures exchange, racked up $1.6 billion in trading volume with its hybrid offchain/onchain model.

Fed Proposal Could Catalyze DeFi Growth, Pushing TVL Beyond $1 Trillion

The decentralized finance (DeFi) sector, which celebrated surpassing $1 billion in total value locked (TVL) in 2020, may be on the verge of exponential growth. A recent proposal by Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller could serve as a bridge between traditional finance and DeFi, particularly benefiting stablecoin issuers like Tether, Paxos, and Circle.

Governor Waller's suggestion of 'skinny master accounts' for fintech firms, unveiled at the Payments Innovation Conference, marks a potential regulatory breakthrough. This development coincides with increasing institutional interest in crypto, underscored by former President Donald Trump's public endorsement of digital assets and the listing of his meme coins on major exchanges including Binance.

The convergence of regulatory clarity and institutional adoption could propel DeFi's TVL to unprecedented levels, with some analysts projecting a tenfold increase to over $1 trillion within 15 months. Stablecoins, already minted in hundreds of billions across chains like Ethereum, Solana, and Tron, stand to benefit most from this tradFi-DeFi integration.

How High Will TRX Price Go?

Based on current technical and fundamental analysis, TRX shows potential for moderate upside movement toward the $0.3470 resistance level. The strong protocol revenue growth and institutional adoption, as evidenced by Kraken's performance, provide solid fundamental backing. However, regulatory concerns may cap significant gains in the short term.